128
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom23%
Jon Ossoff9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9%
Kamala Harris7%
Josh Shapiro5%
+123 more
$1208.0Min over 2 years
Trade
128
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
J.D. Vance38%
Marco Rubio22%
Tucker Carlson7%
Ron DeSantis3%
+123 more
$662.6Min over 2 years
Trade
128
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance20%
Gavin Newsom16%
Marco Rubio16%
Jon Ossoff6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6%
+123 more
$634.2Min over 2 years
Trade
6
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3154%
July 314%
June 300%
March 310%
April 300%
+1 more
$122.8Min 6 months
Trade
49
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori99%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino1%
Rafael López Aliaga0%
Carlos Álvarez0%
César Acuña0%
+44 more
$104.0M2 months ago
Trade
128
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella26%
Édouard Philippe20%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
Marine Le Pen8%
Dominique de Villepin4%
+123 more
$103.1Min 10 months
Trade
32
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva52%
Flávio Bolsonaro25%
Renan Santos14%
Ronaldo Caiado2%
Fernando Haddad2%
+27 more
$102.6Min 4 months
Trade
57
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro74%
Delcy Rodríguez16%
María Corina Machado7%
Edmundo González1%
Jorge Rodríguez1%
+52 more
$91.4Min 6 months
Trade
1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 300%
$62.1Min 9 days
Trade
35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 3199%
June 3099%
June 2194%
April 150%
April 160%
+30 more
$57.5Mabout 2 months ago
Trade
6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 3110%
September 305%
June 300%
March 310%
April 300%
+1 more
$55.3Min 6 months
Trade
45
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra89%
Steve Hilton9%
Chad Bianco0%
Rick Caruso0%
Alex Padilla0%
+40 more
$39.5Min 5 months
Trade
28
Colombia Presidential Election
Abelardo de la Espriella87%
Candidate M50%
Iván Cepeda Castro14%
Vicky Dávila (IND)0%
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)0%
+23 more
$38.9Min about 15 hours
Trade
1
33
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed97%
Belete Molla1%
Demeke Mekonnen1%
Berhanu Nega1%
Shimelis Abdisa0%
+28 more
$36.9M20 days ago
Trade
1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 20266%
$36.2Min 6 months
Trade
15
Starmer out by...?
December 3199%
October 3198%
August 3197%
July 3196%
June 3089%
+10 more
$34.7Min 6 months
Trade
1
6
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3114%
July 312%
June 300%
May 310%
April 300%
+1 more
$27.4Min 6 months
Trade
10
What will happen before GTA VI?
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire100%
Drake releases Iceman100%
New Rihanna Album52%
GPT-6 released52%
New Playboi Carti Album 51%
+5 more
$22.8Min about 1 month
Trade
71
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Volodymyr Zelenskyy10%
Donald Trump8%
Yulia Navalnaya7%
UNRWA6%
Pope Leo XIV5%
+66 more
$20.8Min 4 months
Trade1
28
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot38%
Benjamin Netanyahu33%
Naftali Bennett17%
Avigdor Lieberman4%
Itamar Ben Gvir2%
+23 more
$19.0Min 6 months
Trade
14
Israel closes its airspace by...?
July 3114%
July 159%
June 305%
May 80%
May 310%
+9 more
$18.3M21 days ago
Trade
6
Iran leadership change by...?
December 3116%
June 301%
March 310%
March 130%
April 300%
+1 more
$17.8Min 6 months
Trade
123
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei83%
Reza Pahlavi3%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf3%
No Head of State2%
Abbas Araghchi1%
+118 more
$16.4Min 6 months
Trade
5
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3122%
July 315%
June 301%
April 300%
May 310%
$16.3Min 6 months
Trade19
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Switzerland98%
No Meeting by June 301%
Other - Europe0%
Austria0%
Pakistan0%
+14 more
$15.8Min 9 days
Trade
5
Fed Decision in July?
No change78%
25 bps increase22%
25 bps decrease1%
50+ bps increase1%
50+ bps decrease0%
$14.3Min about 1 month
Trade
4
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 317%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
January 310%
$14.2M3 months ago
Trade
34
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)57%
New People (NL)34%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)6%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)2%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+29 more
$12.1Min 3 months
Trade
15
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass61%
Nithya Raman37%
Spencer Pratt1%
Asaad Alnajjar0%
Austin Beutner0%
+10 more
$12.0M19 days ago
Trade1
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 20260%
$11.5Min 9 days
Trade
1
61
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Andy Burnham95%
No Next PM in 20262%
Wes Streeting1%
Angela Rayner0%
Nigel Farage0%
+56 more
$11.2Min 6 months
Trade1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 304%
$11.0Min 9 days
Trade
1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 202610%
$10.3Min 6 months
Trade
5
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Oil Sanction Relief100%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets100%
Troop Withdrawal100%
Enrichment of Uranium4%
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz2%
$9.9Min 9 days
Trade
1
15
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
No meeting by June 3099%
United States0%
Turkey0%
Russia0%
Other0%
+10 more
$8.6Min 9 days
Trade
7
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 303%
September 300%
December 310%
October 310%
November 300%
+2 more
$8.5M6 months ago
Trade1
5
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep42%
R Senate, D House37%
Republicans Sweep19%
D Senate, R House2%
Other1%
$8.0Min 5 months
Trade
1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 20269%
$7.9Min 6 months
Trade
3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 315%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.6Min 6 months
Trade
9
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party81%
Republican Party20%
Other0%
Party A0%
Party B0%
+4 more
$7.5Min 5 months
Trade
1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 3145%
$7.1Min about 1 month
Trade
16
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
450%
535%
63%
72%
82%
+11 more
$6.9Min 6 months
Trade
14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202693%
September 30, 202686%
July 31, 202664%
June 30, 202627%
August 310%
+9 more
$6.7M6 months ago
Trade
15
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.0%33%
3.75%30%
4.25%20%
3.5%9%
≥ 4.5%8%
+10 more
$6.6Min 6 months
TradeShowing 50 events• Data from Polymarket • Updated 11:08:55 PM