128
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom25%
Kamala Harris8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%
Jon Ossoff7%
Pete Buttigieg5%
+123 more
$1126.4Min over 2 years
Trade
128
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
J.D. Vance39%
Marco Rubio22%
Tucker Carlson6%
Donald Trump Jr.3%
+123 more
$603.6Min over 2 years
Trade
128
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance20%
Gavin Newsom17%
Marco Rubio11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6%
Kamala Harris5%
+123 more
$570.2Min over 2 years
Trade
5
26
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Péter Magyar100%
Viktor Orbán0%
Klára Dobrev0%
László Toroczkai0%
István Kapitány0%
+21 more
$95.3M25 days ago
Trade
57
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro62%
Delcy Rodríguez24%
María Corina Machado9%
Jorge Rodríguez1%
No Head of State1%
+52 more
$86.9Min 8 months
Trade
7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 3172%
June 3044%
May 3127%
May 1513%
April 220%
+2 more
$77.7Min 8 months
Trade
32
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro44%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva38%
Renan Santos6%
Romeu Zema4%
Camilo Santana4%
+27 more
$65.2Min 5 months
Trade
128
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella24%
Édouard Philippe21%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon9%
Marine Le Pen7%
David Lisnard5%
+123 more
$61.8Min 12 months
Trade
35
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh100%
Judy Shelton0%
Michelle Bowman0%
Kevin Hassett0%
Christopher Waller0%
+30 more
$49.4Min 6 months
Trade
49
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino34%
Rafael López Aliaga2%
Carlos Álvarez0%
César Acuña0%
+44 more
$48.8M25 days ago
Trade
1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 305%
$37.5Min about 2 months
Trade
66
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh90%
Oh Se-hoon11%
Cho Eun-hee0%
Ahn Cheol-soo0%
Park Yong-jin0%
+61 more
$34.9Min 27 days
Trade
1
20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
June 3071%
May 3150%
May 1521%
April 150%
April 160%
+15 more
$32.6M7 days ago
Trade
6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 3120%
September 3012%
June 306%
May 313%
March 310%
+1 more
$32.3Min 8 months
Trade
7
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 3097%
May 3195%
May 1592%
May 80%
October 31, 20250%
+2 more
$29.8M7 days ago
Trade
28
Colombia Presidential Election
Candidate M50%
Iván Cepeda Castro39%
Abelardo de la Espriella37%
Paloma Valencia25%
Vicky Dávila (IND)0%
+23 more
$27.5Min about 2 months
Trade
1
1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 20267%
$23.4Min 8 months
Trade
9
What will happen before GTA VI?
Drake releases Iceman99%
GPT-6 released66%
New Playboi Carti Album 56%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire56%
New Rihanna Album53%
+4 more
$21.6Min 3 months
Trade
5
Fed Decision in June?
No change96%
25 bps decrease4%
25 bps increase1%
50+ bps decrease1%
50+ bps increase0%
$18.6Min about 1 month
Trade
45
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra47%
Tom Steyer37%
Steve Hilton7%
Matt Mahan2%
Chad Bianco2%
+40 more
$17.9Min 6 months
Trade
7
Starmer out by...?
December 3169%
June 3040%
May 1510%
December 31, 20250%
February 280%
+2 more
$17.2M4 months ago
Trade1
1
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 312%
$16.4Min 24 days
Trade
20
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton61%
John Cornyn39%
Beth Van Duyne0%
Dawn Buckingham0%
Wesley Hunt0%
+15 more
$15.9Min 19 days
Trade
71
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya8%
Donald Trump7%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy5%
Pope Leo XIV4%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani4%
+66 more
$15.7Min 5 months
Trade
1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 202626%
$14.5Min 8 months
Trade
4
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 3111%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
January 310%
$14.1Mabout 1 month ago
Trade
13
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
June 3073%
May 3148%
May 2237%
May 1525%
May 85%
+8 more
$13.5Min about 2 months
Trade
6
Iran leadership change by...?
December 3131%
June 3012%
May 315%
March 310%
March 130%
+1 more
$12.9Min 8 months
Trade
3
1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 202614%
$9.8Min 8 months
Trade
1
1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 20269%
$8.1Min about 2 months
Trade
33
Next Prime Minister of Denmark?
Mette Frederiksen93%
Lars Løkke Rasmussen5%
Troels Lund Poulsen1%
Alex Vanopslagh0%
Lars Boje Mathiesen0%
+28 more
$7.9Mabout 1 month ago
Trade
5
3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 316%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.5Min 8 months
Trade1
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 20262%
$7.4Min about 2 months
Trade
123
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei68%
Reza Pahlavi8%
No Head of State5%
Ahmad Vahidi4%
Abbas Araghchi4%
+118 more
$7.4Min 8 months
Trade
34
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)66%
New People (NL)28%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)5%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)2%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+29 more
$7.1Min 5 months
Trade
25
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM98%
Takaichi - Japan PM1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM0%
Starmer - UK PM0%
Trump - USA President0%
+20 more
$6.9Min 8 months
Trade
28
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu40%
Naftali Bennett40%
Gadi Eizenkot12%
Avigdor Lieberman3%
Yair Lapid1%
+23 more
$6.8Min 8 months
Trade
16
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
337%
422%
512%
66%
72%
+11 more
$6.6Min 8 months
Trade
15
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%57%
3.25%14%
4.0%9%
3.5%8%
3.0%5%
+10 more
$6.5Min 7 months
Trade
5
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep49%
R Senate, D House35%
Republicans Sweep18%
D Senate, R House1%
Other1%
$6.2Min 6 months
Trade
13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202676%
September 30, 202656%
June 30, 202632%
May 31, 202620%
August 310%
+8 more
$6.1M4 months ago
Trade48
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Roberto Sánchez Palomino98%
Rafael López Aliaga1%
Mario Vizcarra0%
Alfonso López Chau0%
José Luna0%
+43 more
$5.9M25 days ago
Trade
4
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3145%
June 3024%
May 3113%
April 300%
$5.9Min 8 months
TradeShowing 50 events• Data from Polymarket • Updated 6:36:53 PM