128
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Jon Ossoff16%
Gavin Newsom16%
Kamala Harris10%
Josh Shapiro6%
+123 more
$1280.6Min about 2 years
Trade
128
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
Jon Ossoff12%
Marco Rubio9%
Gavin Newsom8%
+123 more
$707.2Min about 2 years
Trade
128
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance51%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
Marco Rubio16%
Tucker Carlson4%
Ron DeSantis3%
+123 more
$705.7Min about 2 years
Trade
33
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed98%
Shimelis Abdisa1%
Gedion Timothewos1%
Belete Molla1%
Alesa Mengesha1%
+28 more
$286.0M4 months ago
Trade
32
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro57%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva41%
Renan Santos1%
Jair Bolsonaro0%
Romeu Zema0%
+27 more
$151.7Min 14 days
Trade
128
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen38%
Édouard Philippe25%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
David Lisnard6%
François Hollande5%
+123 more
$136.1Min 7 months
Trade
6
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3153%
May 310%
July 310%
March 310%
June 300%
+1 more
$124.4Min 3 months
Trade
57
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro83%
Delcy Rodríguez14%
María Corina Machado1%
No Head of State1%
Vladimir Padrino López0%
+52 more
$96.2Min 3 months
Trade
6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 314%
September 300%
April 300%
June 300%
May 310%
+1 more
$68.5Min 3 months
Trade
1
1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 20264%
$42.3Min 3 months
Trade
45
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra95%
Steve Hilton4%
Tom Steyer0%
Rick Caruso0%
Alex Padilla0%
+40 more
$41.1Min about 1 month
Trade
123
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei84%
No Head of State5%
Reza Pahlavi3%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad1%
Alireza Arafi1%
+118 more
$39.5Min 3 months
Trade
28
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot51%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%
Naftali Bennett9%
Avigdor Lieberman5%
Ofer Winter1%
+23 more
$38.0Min 3 months
Trade
34
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)74%
New People (NL)25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)0%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+29 more
$37.7Min about 6 hours
Trade
1
19
Israel closes its airspace by...?
September 3099%
May 80%
May 310%
June 300%
May 240%
+14 more
$30.9Min 11 days
Trade
20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3160%
October 3132%
September 309%
September 211%
July 240%
+15 more
$29.5Min 3 months
Trade
8
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 315%
September 300%
April 300%
June 300%
July 310%
+3 more
$29.5Min 3 months
Trade
1
14
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202726%
December 3114%
November 309%
October 316%
September 301%
+9 more
$25.8Min 9 months
Trade
5
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202714%
December 31, 20265%
September 30, 20260%
July 31, 20260%
August 31, 20260%
$25.0Min 9 months
Trade
71
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms17%
Save the Children12%
Yulia Navalnaya8%
UNRWA6%
Chow Hang-tung5%
+66 more
$24.3Min 20 days
Trade
1
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 20266%
$22.4Min 3 months
Trade
7
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 317%
October 312%
May 310%
July 310%
August 310%
+2 more
$17.9Min 3 months
Trade
12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3119%
October 3110%
September 303%
September 150%
May 310%
+7 more
$14.5Min 3 months
Trade
4
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 313%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
January 310%
$14.2M6 months ago
Trade
15
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass63%
Nithya Raman37%
Rick Caruso0%
Asaad Alnajjar0%
Gina Viola0%
+10 more
$13.8Min 3 months
Trade
5
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep60%
R Senate, D House31%
Republicans Sweep9%
D Senate, R House1%
Other0%
$12.7Min about 1 month
Trade
1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 3118%
$11.8Min 3 months
Trade
1
1
9
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party91%
Republican Party11%
Party A0%
Party B0%
Party C0%
+4 more
$11.6Min about 1 month
Trade
12
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 202763%
December 31, 202642%
October 31, 202626%
September 30, 202614%
June 260%
+7 more
$11.6Min 6 months
Trade
1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 20266%
$10.7Min 3 months
Trade1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 301%
$9.1Min 11 days
Trade
36
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson93%
Ulf Kristersson7%
Ebba Busch1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist0%
Jimmie Åkesson0%
+31 more
$8.4M7 days ago
Trade
3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 313%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.8Min 3 months
Trade
18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 202770%
October 31, 202762%
November 30, 202761%
June 30, 202756%
July 31, 202756%
+13 more
$7.7Min 9 months
Trade32
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro74%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva26%
Renan Santos1%
Augusto Cury0%
Tarcisio de Freitas0%
+27 more
$7.5Min 14 days
Trade
16
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
478%
513%
64%
83%
15+3%
+11 more
$7.5Min 3 months
Trade
15
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%54%
≥ 4.5%33%
4.0%9%
3.5%2%
3.75%1%
+10 more
$6.9Min 3 months
Trade
13
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3144%
September 305%
July 310%
August 310%
August 310%
+8 more
$6.5Min 3 months
Trade
4
6
Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 20265%
September 30, 20261%
November 300%
December 310%
March 31, 20260%
+1 more
$6.2Min 3 months
Trade19
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3085%
USA14%
Switzerland1%
Qatar0%
Oman0%
+14 more
$6.1Min 11 days
Trade
4
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 31, 20266%
September 31, 20261%
December 31, 20250%
June 30, 20260%
$5.5M9 months ago
Trade
9
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party61%
Republican Party41%
Party A0%
Party B0%
Party C0%
+4 more
$4.7Min about 1 month
Trade34
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)100%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)0%
New People (NL)0%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)0%
+29 more
$4.4Min about 6 hours
Trade
5
Epstein client list released by...?
October 3110%
December 310%
July 310%
December 310%
June 300%
$4.4Min 3 months
TradeShowing 50 events• Data from Polymarket • Updated 5:49:34 PM