128
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom18%
Jon Ossoff15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
Kamala Harris8%
Pete Buttigieg5%
+123 more
$1251.5Min over 2 years
Trade
128
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
J.D. Vance46%
Marco Rubio28%
Ron DeSantis3%
Tucker Carlson2%
+123 more
$685.0Min over 2 years
Trade
128
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance21%
Marco Rubio13%
Gavin Newsom12%
Jon Ossoff9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%
+123 more
$677.1Min over 2 years
Trade
33
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed96%
Gedion Timothewos2%
Belete Molla1%
Shimelis Abdisa1%
Demeke Mekonnen1%
+28 more
$267.8M2 months ago
Trade
6
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3139%
May 310%
July 310%
March 310%
June 300%
+1 more
$123.9Min 5 months
Trade
32
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva65%
Flávio Bolsonaro27%
Renan Santos8%
Ronaldo Caiado1%
Romeu Zema1%
+27 more
$119.6Min about 2 months
Trade
128
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen30%
Édouard Philippe26%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
Gabriel Attal4%
François Hollande4%
+123 more
$117.3Min 9 months
Trade
57
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%
Delcy Rodríguez10%
María Corina Machado3%
No Head of State2%
Edmundo González1%
+52 more
$95.2Min 5 months
Trade
6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 316%
September 303%
April 300%
June 300%
May 310%
+1 more
$64.2Min 5 months
Trade
1
45
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra94%
Steve Hilton3%
Chad Bianco0%
Rick Caruso0%
Alex Padilla0%
+40 more
$40.6Min 3 months
Trade
1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 20264%
$39.4Min 5 months
Trade
123
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei85%
Reza Pahlavi3%
No Head of State3%
Alireza Arafi2%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf1%
+118 more
$37.7Min 5 months
Trade
1
28
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%
Benjamin Netanyahu33%
Naftali Bennett7%
Avigdor Lieberman6%
Yair Golan0%
+23 more
$31.1Min 5 months
Trade
8
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 3110%
September 303%
August 311%
April 300%
June 300%
+3 more
$29.0Min 5 months
Trade
18
Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3110%
August 155%
May 80%
May 310%
June 300%
+13 more
$26.5M2 months ago
Trade
1
71
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya9%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy6%
UNRWA5%
Pope Leo XIV3%
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani3%
+66 more
$23.2Min 2 months
Trade
10
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202723%
December 3114%
September 306%
August 312%
July 310%
+5 more
$22.5Min 5 months
Trade
5
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202714%
December 31, 20268%
September 30, 20263%
August 31, 20261%
July 31, 20260%
$19.7Min 11 months
Trade
7
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3110%
October 317%
August 312%
May 310%
July 310%
+2 more
$17.7Min 5 months
Trade
34
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)68%
New People (NL)25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)5%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)2%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+29 more
$16.7Min about 2 months
Trade
5
Fed Decision in September?
No change53%
25 bps increase47%
25 bps decrease1%
50+ bps decrease1%
50+ bps increase1%
$14.6Min about 1 month
Trade
4
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 315%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
January 310%
$14.2M4 months ago
Trade
15
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass64%
Nithya Raman35%
Rick Caruso0%
Asaad Alnajjar0%
Gina Viola0%
+10 more
$13.1Min 5 months
Trade
1
1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 20266%
$10.5Min 5 months
Trade
2
1
10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3114%
September 308%
August 313%
May 310%
June 300%
+5 more
$9.5Mabout 1 month ago
Trade
5
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep46%
R Senate, D House40%
Republicans Sweep12%
D Senate, R House1%
Other0%
$9.3Min 3 months
Trade
9
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party87%
Republican Party14%
Party A0%
Party B0%
Party C0%
+4 more
$9.0Min 3 months
Trade
8
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 152%
June 260%
June 300%
July 310%
July 70%
+3 more
$8.9M5 days ago
Trade
17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202693%
September 30, 202679%
August 31, 202656%
August 15, 202616%
May 31, 20260%
+12 more
$8.8M7 months ago
Trade
9
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
September 3072%
August 3151%
August 1524%
August 71%
June 260%
+4 more
$8.4M5 days ago
Trade
3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 315%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.7Min 5 months
Trade
16
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
443%
538%
68%
72%
91%
+11 more
$7.4Min 5 months
Trade1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 3162%
$7.1Min 5 months
Trade
15
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.0%37%
3.75%27%
4.25%15%
3.5%10%
≥ 4.5%5%
+10 more
$6.7Min 4 months
Trade
13
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 3138%
September 3013%
August 318%
July 310%
August 310%
+8 more
$6.4M6 months ago
Trade
4
6
Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 20267%
September 30, 20262%
November 300%
December 310%
March 31, 20260%
+1 more
$6.1M4 months ago
Trade
5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%
October 3114%
August 314%
May 310%
June 300%
$5.8Min 5 months
Trade
3
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 31, 20266%
December 31, 20250%
June 30, 20260%
$5.3M7 months ago
Trade
1
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 202616%
$4.8Min 5 months
Trade
20
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed100%
Mallory McMorrow0%
Haley Stevens0%
Dana Nessel0%
Rashida Tlaib0%
+15 more
$4.6M1 day ago
Trade
9
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3198%
October 3192%
September 3088%
August 3183%
August 1572%
+4 more
$4.4Min 26 days
Trade32
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro88%
Renan Santos6%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva5%
Ronaldo Caiado1%
Fernando Haddad1%
+27 more
$4.4Min about 2 months
Trade
5
Epstein client list released by...?
October 3128%
December 310%
July 310%
December 310%
June 300%
$4.4Mabout 1 month ago
TradeShowing 50 events• Data from Polymarket • Updated 3:58:07 PM