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128
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Kamala Harris
5%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Josh Shapiro
4%
+123 more
$830.4M
in over 2 years
Trade
4
Fed decision in March?
No change
100%
25 bps decrease
0%
50+ bps decrease
0%
25+ bps increase
0%
$421.0M
in 2 days
Trade
128
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
49%
J.D. Vance
39%
Marco Rubio
26%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Tucker Carlson
2%
+123 more
$417.7M
in over 2 years
Trade
128
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
21%
Gavin Newsom
18%
Marco Rubio
14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
Kamala Harris
3%
+123 more
$410.0M
in over 2 years
Trade
57
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
60%
María Corina Machado
14%
Nicolás Maduro
14%
Edmundo González
3%
No Head of State
1%
+52 more
$73.9M
in 10 months
Trade
1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31
3%
$33.8M
in 15 days
Trade
26
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Péter Magyar
64%
Viktor Orbán
36%
László Toroczkai
1%
János Lázár
0%
István Kapitány
0%
+21 more
$31.5M
in 27 days
Trade
1
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Trump acquire Greenland
9%
$30.3M
in 10 months
Trade
9
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
December 31
71%
June 30
60%
May 31
47%
April 30
36%
April 15
28%
+4 more
$29.2M
Trade
32
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
46%
Flávio Bolsonaro
39%
Renan Santos
5%
Ratinho Júnior
5%
Fernando Haddad
3%
+27 more
$26.2M
in 7 months
Trade
1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026
2%
$25.4M
in 15 days
Trade
19
Next President of Vietnam
Tô Lâm
89%
Trần Thanh Mẫn
7%
Phan Văn Giang
3%
Trần Cẩm Tú
1%
Nguyễn Duy Ngọc
0%
+14 more
$23.9M
about 2 months ago
Trade
9
What will happen before GTA VI?
Drake releases Iceman
90%
New Rihanna Album
63%
GPT-6 released
62%
New Playboi Carti Album
56%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
55%
+4 more
$19.1M
in 5 months
Trade
1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30
30%
$17.4M
in 4 months
Trade
1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
the US confirm that aliens exist
14%
$17.1M
in 10 months
Trade
48
Paris Mayoral Election
Emmanuel Grégoire
88%
Éric Grégoire
33%
Rachida Dati
12%
Sarah Knafo
0%
Pierre-Yves Bournazel
0%
+43 more
$16.5M
in 15 days
Trade
3
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
41%
June 30
13%
March 31
3%
$16.1M
in 10 months
Trade
4
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
13%
March 31
1%
December 31, 2025
0%
January 31
0%
$14.0M
in 15 days
Trade
128
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
27%
Édouard Philippe
18%
Marine Le Pen
10%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
10%
Dominique de Villepin
7%
+123 more
$13.6M
in about 1 year
Trade
10
Iran strikes Israel on...?
March 4
100%
March 1
100%
March 2
100%
March 3
100%
March 5
100%
+5 more
$12.2M
Trade
1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026
39%
$11.7M
in 10 months
Trade
1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026
12%
$11.1M
in 10 months
Trade
33
Next Prime Minister of Vietnam
Lê Minh Hưng
93%
Trần Lưu Quang
6%
Nguyễn Hòa Bình
0%
Phạm Thị Thanh Trà
0%
Lê Hoài Trung
0%
+28 more
$10.7M
about 2 months ago
Trade
37
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
TISZA
65%
Fidesz-KDNP
36%
LMP
0%
Momentum
0%
Mi Hazánk
0%
+32 more
$10.6M
in 27 days
Trade
20
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
John Cornyn
61%
Ken Paxton
39%
Wesley Hunt
0%
Dawn Buckingham
0%
Beth Van Duyne
0%
+15 more
$10.3M
in 2 months
Trade
1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
the Iranian regime fall
38%
$10.0M
in 10 months
Trade
6
Starmer out by...?
December 31
70%
June 30
46%
April 30
13%
March 31
4%
December 31, 2025
0%
+1 more
$9.6M
2 months ago
Trade
28
Colombia Presidential Election
Candidate M
50%
Iván Cepeda Castro
39%
Paloma Valencia
35%
Abelardo de la Espriella
20%
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
1%
+23 more
$9.5M
in 3 months
Trade
30
Elon Musk # tweets March 10 - March 17, 2026?
280-299
27%
300-319
25%
260-279
19%
320-339
14%
340-359
7%
+25 more
$9.5M
in 1 day
Trade
71
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
14%
Donald Trump
9%
Yulia Navalnaya
9%
Pope Leo XIV
6%
International Court of Justice
4%
+66 more
$9.0M
in 7 months
Trade
1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026
17%
$8.9M
in 10 months
Trade
4
Fed decision in April?
No change
94%
25 bps decrease
4%
25+ bps increase
2%
50+ bps decrease
1%
$7.8M
in about 1 month
Trade
13
Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?
UAE
16%
Saudi Arabia
16%
Bahrain
10%
Qatar
9%
Any E.U. Country
7%
+8 more
$7.4M
in 15 days
Trade
1
Trump out as President by March 31?
Trump out as President by March 31
1%
$7.2M
in 15 days
Trade
35
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
95%
Michelle Bowman
2%
Judy Shelton
2%
Stephen Miran
1%
Christopher Waller
0%
+30 more
$6.9M
in 8 months
Trade
4
Iran leadership change by...?
December 31
68%
April 30
44%
March 31
21%
March 13
0%
$6.8M
in 10 months
Trade
1
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026
1%
$6.7M
in 15 days
Trade
6
Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?
March 31, 2026
2%
August 31
0%
September 30
0%
October 31
0%
December 31
0%
+1 more
$6.7M
in 15 days
Trade
1
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30
16%
$5.6M
in about 2 months
Trade
11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
87%
June 30, 2026
69%
April 30, 2026
30%
March 31, 2026
7%
August 31
0%
+6 more
$5.5M
2 months ago
Trade
8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
December 31
84%
June 30
73%
May 15
62%
April 30
50%
April 15
36%
+3 more
$5.4M
in 15 days
Trade
66
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh
83%
Oh Se-hoon
12%
Park Ju-min
5%
Ahn Cheol-soo
1%
Na Kyung-won
0%
+61 more
$4.7M
in 3 months
Trade
6
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
April 30
35%
March 31
10%
January 31
0%
January 9
0%
January 24
0%
+1 more
$4.6M
about 1 month ago
Trade
1
Trump out as President before 2027?
Trump out as President before 2027
17%
$4.6M
in 10 months
Trade
30
Elon Musk # tweets March 13 - March 20, 2026?
300-319
14%
320-339
14%
340-359
13%
280-299
13%
260-279
11%
+25 more
$4.5M
in 5 days
Trade
1
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by...
63%
$4.3M
in 15 days
Trade
21
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
99%
MIRA‑CJL coalition (MIRA‑CJL)
1%
Centro Democrático (CD)
0%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
0%
Green Alliance
0%
+16 more
$4.2M
7 days ago
Trade
2
Epstein client list released by...?
June 30
12%
December 31
0%
$3.9M
in 4 months
Trade
9
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
84%
Republican Party
16%
Other
0%
Party A
0%
Party B
0%
+4 more
$3.8M
in 8 months
Trade
2
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
5%
December 31, 2025
0%
$3.6M
2 months ago
Trade
Showing 50 events
• Data from Polymarket • Updated 10:30:00 PM