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19
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Warner Bros. Discovery
100%
iRobot
100%
Pizza Hut
100%
Caesars Entertainment
100%
Cursor
100%
+14 more
$18.3M
in 3 months
Trade
28
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
73%
Apple
19%
Alphabet
8%
Microsoft
0%
SpaceX
0%
+23 more
$7.4M
in 3 months
Trade
32
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Anthropic
98%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
+27 more
$3.6M
in 11 days
Trade
3
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
9%
March 31, 2026
0%
December 31, 2025
0%
$3.0M
in 3 months
Trade
25
Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA
98%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
+20 more
$2.1M
in 11 days
Trade
4
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
December 31
2%
July 31
0%
April 30
0%
June 30
0%
$2.0M
in 3 months
Trade
1
Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026
2%
$2.0M
in 3 months
Trade
22
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 31
85%
October 15
48%
September 30
14%
June 5
0%
June 12
0%
+17 more
$1.3M
in about 1 month
Trade
26
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic
73%
OpenAI
11%
Google
10%
xAI
4%
Meta
2%
+21 more
$1.3M
in 3 months
Trade
15
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
93%
None by June 30, 2027
5%
Comcast
0%
Netflix
0%
Company A
0%
+10 more
$1.3M
in 9 months
Trade
7
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027
67%
June 30, 2027
54%
February 28, 2027
32%
January 31, 2027
22%
December 31, 2026
20%
+2 more
$1.2M
in over 1 year
Trade
6
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
October 31
99%
December 31
99%
September 30
1%
September 15
0%
September 9
0%
+1 more
$1.0M
in 3 months
Trade
3
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
34%
October 31
9%
July 31
0%
$989K
in 3 months
Trade
1
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
GTA 6 launch postponed again
6%
$806K
in 2 months
Trade
6
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Tim Cook - Apple
100%
Sundar Pichai - Google
7%
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
6%
Sam Altman - OpenAI
6%
Andy Jassy - Amazon
5%
+1 more
$715K
in 3 months
Trade
11
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
October 31
96%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
90%
Successful splash down?
71%
September 30
70%
Chopsticks catch Starship?
3%
+6 more
$690K
in 9 months
Trade
1
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
FDA approves Retatrutide this year
3%
$586K
in 3 months
Trade
7
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 30
92%
October 31
83%
September 30
5%
July 31
0%
August 31
0%
+2 more
$554K
in 2 months
Trade
25
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Alibaba
87%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
+20 more
$508K
in 11 days
Trade
10
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
18%
Clip-on device for clothing
18%
Glasses
18%
Necklace
10%
Watch
10%
+5 more
$435K
in 3 months
Trade
4
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
45%
October 31, 2026
24%
December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
$402K
in 3 months
Trade
5
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
1510
100%
1520
100%
1530
3%
1540
3%
1550
1%
$389K
in 11 days
Trade
32
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Anthropic
89%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
+27 more
$334K
in about 1 month
Trade
10
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Baidu
48%
CATL
47%
Tencent
32%
Alibaba
25%
BYD
24%
+5 more
$315K
in 9 months
Trade
1
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Apple release a new product line
21%
$311K
in 3 months
Trade
3
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
84%
December 31, 2026
62%
September 30, 2026
17%
$285K
in over 1 year
Trade
93
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Person 2
50%
Person 3
50%
Person 4
50%
Person 5
50%
Person 6
50%
+88 more
$280K
in 3 months
Trade
1
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027
14%
$263K
in 3 months
Trade
4
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#5
100%
#10
100%
#3
25%
#1
8%
$242K
in 3 months
Trade
16
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
100%
SoundHound AI
10%
Beyond Meat
10%
Workhorse
9%
Xerox
8%
+11 more
$241K
in 3 months
Trade
32
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
Anthropic
95%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
+27 more
$223K
in 11 days
Trade
3
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027
83%
December 31, 2026
59%
September 30, 2026
17%
$222K
in over 1 year
Trade
3
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
1560
30%
1580
24%
1600
10%
$219K
in 3 months
Trade
9
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 1510
100%
↑ 1520
100%
↑ 1500
100%
↑ 1530
29%
↑ 1540
25%
+4 more
$217K
in 3 months
Trade
1
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy
3%
$203K
in 3 months
Trade
1
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31
80%
$199K
in 3 months
Trade
46
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
Movie B
50%
Movie C
50%
Movie D
50%
Movie E
50%
Movie F
50%
+41 more
$197K
in 3 months
Trade
20
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Rigetti
99%
D-Wave
96%
GlobalFoundries
96%
Unusual Machines
48%
Anduril
23%
+15 more
$187K
in 3 months
Trade
29
3rd Largest Company end of September?
Alphabet
96%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
+24 more
$186K
in 11 days
Trade
8
Next Claude Opus released by...?
October 31
98%
December 31
97%
September 30
78%
September 27
72%
September 24
60%
+3 more
$181K
in 3 months
Trade
103
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
Person 3
50%
Person 4
50%
Person 5
50%
Person 6
50%
Person 7
50%
+98 more
$174K
in 3 months
Trade
5
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+
92%
1490+
89%
1495+
74%
1500+
47%
1510+
24%
$170K
Trade
6
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Hodge Conjecture
60%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
17%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
16%
P versus NP
1%
Riemann Hypothesis
1%
+1 more
$165K
in over 1 year
Trade
2
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
December 31
6%
August 31
0%
$158K
in 3 months
Trade
14
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
27%
OpenAI
24%
xAI
13%
Z.ai
11%
Meta
10%
+9 more
$157K
in 3 months
Trade
1
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026
82%
$154K
in 3 months
Trade
30
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
OpenAI
76%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
+25 more
$153K
in 11 days
Trade
5
Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Frontier Airlines
19%
JetBlue
7%
Allegiant
3%
Alaska Airlines
2%
American Airlines
1%
$153K
in 3 months
Trade
29
2nd Largest Company end of September?
Apple
96%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
+24 more
$136K
in 11 days
Trade
1
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027
11%
$132K
in 3 months
Trade
Showing 50 events
• Data from Polymarket • Updated 5:48:11 PM