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28
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
99%
Apple
1%
Alphabet
1%
Tesla
0%
Amazon
0%
+23 more
$23.0M
in 9 days
Trade
19
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
iRobot
100%
Warner Bros. Discovery
100%
Pizza Hut
100%
Caesars Entertainment
100%
Cursor
100%
+14 more
$18.0M
in 6 months
Trade
19
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
95%
Google
4%
OpenAI
2%
xAI
0%
Z.ai
0%
+14 more
$16.1M
in 9 days
Trade
34
IPOs before 2027?
SpaceX
100%
Once Upon a Farm
100%
Cerebras
100%
Wealthfront
100%
Anthropic
77%
+29 more
$6.7M
in 6 months
Trade
1
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair
0%
$3.6M
in 9 days
Trade
28
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
72%
Alphabet
13%
Apple
10%
SpaceX
5%
Saudi Aramco
1%
+23 more
$3.5M
in 6 months
Trade
3
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
20%
December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
$2.9M
in 6 months
Trade
74
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
87%
xAI
26%
Anthropic
13%
OpenAI
1%
Discord
0%
+69 more
$2.5M
in 6 months
Trade
6
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
55%
September 30, 2026
21%
August 31, 2026
5%
July 31, 2026
1%
June 30, 2026
0%
+1 more
$2.4M
in 6 months
Trade
15
Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑$1.6T
100%
↑$2.5T
100%
↑$1.75T
100%
↑$1.5T
100%
↑$2.0T
100%
+10 more
$2.1M
in 11 days
Trade
1
Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026
3%
$2.0M
in 6 months
Trade
19
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
94%
Google
2%
OpenAI
2%
Z.ai
0%
DeepSeek
0%
+14 more
$1.9M
in 9 days
Trade
3
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
December 31
2%
June 30
0%
April 30
0%
$1.9M
in 6 months
Trade
7
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
45%
1T–1.25T
16%
1.5T+
9%
750B–1T
8%
1.25T–1.5T
4%
+2 more
$1.9M
in 6 months
Trade
7
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
600B+
0%
400–600B
0%
<100B
0%
100–200B
0%
+2 more
$1.7M
in 9 days
Trade
11
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Anthropic
100%
OpenAI
4%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
0%
Meta
0%
+6 more
$1.7M
in 9 days
Trade
13
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.0T
100%
↑$1.1T
97%
↑$1.25T
92%
↑$1.5T
79%
↑$1.75T
56%
+8 more
$1.6M
in 6 months
Trade
4
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
32%
December 31
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
June 30
0%
$1.6M
in 6 months
Trade
5
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B
88%
$1T
79%
$1.2T
65%
$1.4T
52%
$1.6T
42%
$1.5M
in over 1 year
Trade
8
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
July 1
71%
June 26
51%
June 22
22%
June 15
0%
June 17
0%
+3 more
$1.2M
in 11 days
Trade
15
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
81%
None by June 30, 2027
16%
Netflix
1%
Comcast
0%
Company A
0%
+10 more
$1.2M
in about 1 year
Trade
7
Who will acquire TikTok?
Larry Ellison/Oracle
100%
Amazon
1%
AppLovin
1%
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
1%
Walmart
1%
+2 more
$1.1M
in 6 months
Trade
9
GPT-5.6 released by...?
July 31
96%
June 30
64%
June 23
5%
May 31
0%
May 15
0%
+4 more
$1.0M
in about 1 month
Trade
6
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
99%
20–25B
1%
<15B
0%
15–20B
0%
25–30B
0%
+1 more
$961K
in 9 days
Trade
2
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
31%
July 31
5%
$953K
in 6 months
Trade
1
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans
0%
$882K
in 9 days
Trade
8
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
$2.0T-$2.5T
50%
$2.5T-$3.0T
26%
$1.5T-$2.0T
17%
$3.0T-$3.5T
4%
$1.0T-$1.5T
3%
+3 more
$762K
in 10 days
Trade
29
2nd largest company end of June?
Alphabet
74%
Apple
26%
NVIDIA
1%
Amazon
0%
Microsoft
0%
+24 more
$723K
in 10 days
Trade
15
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$900B
93%
↑$1.0T
86%
↑$1.25T
76%
↑$1.5T
57%
↓$800B
54%
+10 more
$703K
in 6 months
Trade
6
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Tim Cook - Apple
100%
Sam Altman - OpenAI
13%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
9%
Andy Jassy - Amazon
8%
+1 more
$698K
in 6 months
Trade
3
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31
36%
September 30
26%
June 30
1%
$656K
in 6 months
Trade
19
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
93%
Google
3%
OpenAI
3%
DeepSeek
0%
xAI
0%
+14 more
$646K
in 9 days
Trade
26
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Anthropic
85%
Google
10%
OpenAI
5%
Z.ai
0%
xAI
0%
+21 more
$640K
in about 1 month
Trade
1
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
FDA approves Retatrutide this year
12%
$570K
in 6 months
Trade
8
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
200–250B
0%
100–125B
0%
150–175B
0%
<100B
0%
+3 more
$565K
in 9 days
Trade
12
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑ $925B
100%
↑ $1.0T
100%
↑ $975B
100%
↑ $950B
100%
↑ $1.1T
77%
+7 more
$438K
in 11 days
Trade
1
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
GTA 6 launch postponed again
14%
$432K
in 5 months
Trade
7
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
90%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
8%
400–600B
1%
300–400B
0%
200–300B
0%
+2 more
$381K
in over 1 year
Trade
5
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
30%+
100%
35%+
100%
45%+
17%
50%+
14%
55%+
4%
$374K
in 9 days
Trade
6
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
82%
September 30, 2026
51%
July 31, 2026
5%
June 30, 2026
2%
December 31, 2025
0%
+1 more
$373K
6 months ago
Trade
18
SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?
Steve Jurvetson
100%
Gwynne Shotwell
100%
Bret Johnsen
100%
Brian Bjelde
100%
Luke Nosek
100%
+13 more
$366K
8 days ago
Trade
10
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
27%
Glasses
23%
Clip-on device for clothing
22%
Watch
18%
Ring
14%
+5 more
$330K
in 6 months
Trade
8
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
Not released by June 28
51%
June 22–June 28
50%
June 15–June 21
1%
May 18–May 24
0%
June 1–June 7
0%
+3 more
$327K
in 7 days
Trade
5
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
45%+
100%
40%+
100%
50%+
10%
55%+
8%
60%+
5%
$315K
3 months ago
Trade
7
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
June 30
75%
May 31
0%
May 8
0%
May 22
0%
May 15
0%
+2 more
$311K
in 9 days
Trade
2
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
June 30
20%
May 31
0%
$301K
in 9 days
Trade
1
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
a Chinese AI model
1%
$293K
in 9 days
Trade
1
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Apple release a new product line
41%
$291K
in 6 months
Trade
1
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027
36%
$281K
in 6 months
Trade
5
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
70%
100%
80%
100%
75%
100%
85%
13%
90%
1%
$264K
in 9 days
Trade
Showing 50 events
• Data from Polymarket • Updated 11:04:46 PM