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17
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
iRobot
100%
Warner Bros. Discovery
100%
Caesars Entertainment
81%
Cursor
76%
Viking Therapeutics
54%
+12 more
$17.7M
in 8 months
Trade
28
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
69%
Alphabet
23%
Apple
4%
Tesla
0%
Amazon
0%
+23 more
$10.2M
in about 2 months
Trade
34
IPOs before 2027?
Once Upon a Farm
100%
Wealthfront
100%
Cerebras
100%
SpaceX
94%
Anthropic
66%
+29 more
$6.1M
in 8 months
Trade
19
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Other (incl $SPCX)
56%
$X
42%
$SPAX
1%
$SEX
1%
$SPACE
1%
+14 more
$5.5M
in over 1 year
Trade
19
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
64%
Google
26%
OpenAI
7%
xAI
2%
Meta
1%
+14 more
$5.4M
in about 2 months
Trade
29
Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic
75%
Google
21%
OpenAI
3%
xAI
0%
Alibaba
0%
+24 more
$4.1M
in 24 days
Trade
10
Claude 5 released by…?
September 30, 2026
88%
June 30, 2026
26%
May 31, 2026
8%
December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
+5 more
$3.6M
7 days ago
Trade
1
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair
1%
$3.3M
in about 2 months
Trade
8
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
1T+
94%
No IPO before 2028
3%
900B–1T
1%
800B–900B
0%
500B–600B
0%
+3 more
$3.2M
in over 1 year
Trade
3
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
26%
December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
$2.8M
in 8 months
Trade
28
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
52%
Alphabet
36%
Apple
8%
SpaceX
2%
Microsoft
1%
+23 more
$2.6M
in 8 months
Trade
29
Largest Company end of May?
NVIDIA
70%
Alphabet
30%
Apple
0%
Tesla
0%
Amazon
0%
+24 more
$2.4M
in 24 days
Trade
8
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
2.0T-2.5T
34%
1.5T-2.0T
30%
2.5T-3.0T
13%
1.0T-1.5T
11%
<1.0T
7%
+3 more
$1.9M
Trade
1
Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026
4%
$1.9M
in 8 months
Trade
74
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
87%
xAI
26%
Anthropic
8%
OpenAI
3%
Kraken
0%
+69 more
$1.8M
in 8 months
Trade
30
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Morgan Stanley
45%
Goldman Sachs
18%
Bank of America
16%
JPMorgan
1%
Citigroup
1%
+25 more
$1.7M
in over 1 year
Trade
7
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
67%
1.5T+
16%
1.25T–1.5T
3%
1T–1.25T
3%
750B–1T
2%
+2 more
$1.6M
in 8 months
Trade
19
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
June 30
91%
May 31
74%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
68%
May 22
59%
Successful splash down?
49%
+14 more
$1.6M
3 months ago
Trade
4
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
67%
December 31
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
June 30
0%
$1.6M
4 months ago
Trade
11
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Anthropic
100%
OpenAI
14%
xAI
10%
Nvidia
5%
Mistral
5%
+6 more
$1.5M
in about 2 months
Trade
9
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
93%
>$1.2T
92%
>$1.4T
89%
>$1.6T
84%
>$1.8T
74%
+4 more
$1.5M
in over 1 year
Trade
5
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B
75%
$1T
60%
$1.2T
55%
$1.6T
49%
$1.4T
44%
$1.5M
in over 1 year
Trade
19
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
46%
Google
28%
OpenAI
7%
xAI
2%
Z.ai
2%
+14 more
$1.4M
in about 2 months
Trade
3
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
29%
June 30, 2026
2%
December 31, 2025
0%
$1.2M
in 8 months
Trade
7
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
98%
600B+
1%
200–300B
0%
<100B
0%
100–200B
0%
+2 more
$1.1M
in about 2 months
Trade
15
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
73%
None by June 30, 2027
13%
Netflix
0%
Comcast
0%
Company A
0%
+10 more
$1.1M
in about 1 year
Trade
7
Who will acquire TikTok?
Larry Ellison/Oracle
100%
Amazon
7%
Microsoft
7%
Walmart
6%
AppLovin
5%
+2 more
$1.0M
in 8 months
Trade
5
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
July 31
37%
June 30
18%
May 31
5%
March 31
0%
April 30
0%
$974K
in about 2 months
Trade
2
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
26%
July 31
14%
$937K
in 8 months
Trade
8
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
53%
1.8T–2.0T
13%
1.6T–1.8T
11%
1.2T–1.4T
6%
1.4T–1.6T
6%
+3 more
$887K
in over 1 year
Trade
6
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
78%
<15B
15%
15–20B
1%
30B+
1%
20–25B
1%
+1 more
$885K
in about 2 months
Trade
6
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Tim Cook - Apple
100%
Sam Altman - OpenAI
21%
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%
Sundar Pichai - Google
9%
+1 more
$689K
in 8 months
Trade
1
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
FDA approves Retatrutide this year
19%
$563K
in 8 months
Trade
1
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027
73%
$453K
in 8 months
Trade
8
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
81%
250B+
5%
100–125B
4%
125–150B
2%
200–250B
1%
+3 more
$402K
in about 2 months
Trade
19
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
61%
Google
24%
OpenAI
9%
xAI
5%
DeepSeek
2%
+14 more
$392K
in about 2 months
Trade
3
Claude Mythos released by…?
June 30
17%
March 31
0%
April 30
0%
$358K
7 days ago
Trade
5
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
45%+
100%
40%+
100%
50%+
45%
55%+
17%
60%+
6%
$312K
about 1 month ago
Trade
29
Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
77%
Google
19%
OpenAI
2%
xAI
1%
Alibaba
0%
+24 more
$300K
in 24 days
Trade
5
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
93%
September 30, 2026
57%
June 30, 2026
6%
December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
$300K
4 months ago
Trade
7
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
400–600B
3%
300–400B
1%
<100B
0%
+2 more
$292K
in over 1 year
Trade
5
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
30%+
100%
35%+
100%
45%+
20%
50%+
9%
55%+
5%
$283K
in about 2 months
Trade
1
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Elon Musk
43%
$277K
in 8 months
Trade
1
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Apple release a new product line
31%
$277K
in 8 months
Trade
1
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027
28%
$268K
in 8 months
Trade
3
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
15%
December 31, 2025
0%
March 31, 2026
0%
$253K
4 months ago
Trade
1
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
GTA 6 launch postponed again
23%
$253K
in 7 months
Trade
9
Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
Miami
100%
Nashville
90%
Dallas
87%
Denver
10%
Las Vegas
10%
+4 more
$234K
in about 2 months
Trade
10
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
28%
Phone
26%
Glasses
24%
Clip-on device for clothing
20%
Watch
16%
+5 more
$212K
in 8 months
Trade
1
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30
2%
$199K
in about 2 months
Trade
Showing 50 events
• Data from Polymarket • Updated 6:36:07 PM