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16
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
iRobot
100%
Warner Bros. Discovery
100%
Caesars Entertainment
83%
Pizza Hut
49%
Viking Therapeutics
45%
+11 more
$17.0M
in 10 months
Trade
28
Largest Company end of March?
NVIDIA
99%
Alphabet
1%
Apple
1%
Tesla
0%
Amazon
0%
+23 more
$10.3M
in 15 days
Trade
25
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Anthropic
90%
Google
6%
xAI
2%
OpenAI
2%
DeepSeek
1%
+20 more
$9.4M
in 15 days
Trade
33
IPOs before 2027?
Once Upon a Farm
100%
Wealthfront
100%
Cerebras
95%
SpaceX
83%
Discord
82%
+28 more
$3.7M
in 10 months
Trade
7
Claude 5 released by…?
April 30, 2026
25%
March 31, 2026
6%
March 15, 2026
0%
December 31, 2025
0%
February 28, 2026
0%
+2 more
$2.9M
in about 2 months
Trade
1
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair
1%
$2.8M
in 4 months
Trade
19
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$X
49%
$STAR
15%
$SPAX
11%
$SX
9%
$MARS
5%
+14 more
$2.4M
in almost 2 years
Trade
28
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
81%
Apple
10%
Alphabet
8%
Microsoft
1%
Tesla
1%
+23 more
$2.4M
in 4 months
Trade
3
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
18%
March 31, 2026
1%
December 31, 2025
0%
$2.2M
in 10 months
Trade
8
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
1T+
91%
No IPO before 2028
4%
900B–1T
1%
800B–900B
1%
<500B
1%
+3 more
$2.2M
in almost 2 years
Trade
19
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
50%
Google
28%
OpenAI
13%
xAI
5%
DeepSeek
3%
+14 more
$1.9M
in 4 months
Trade
1
Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026
5%
$1.9M
in 10 months
Trade
28
2nd largest company end of March?
Apple
50%
Alphabet
49%
NVIDIA
1%
Microsoft
0%
Saudi Aramco
0%
+23 more
$1.8M
in 15 days
Trade
5
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?
80%
100%
75%
100%
70%
100%
85%
16%
90%
8%
$1.7M
in 15 days
Trade
7
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
64%
750B–1T
8%
1T–1.25T
8%
1.25T–1.5T
7%
500–750B
4%
+2 more
$1.5M
in 10 months
Trade
6
DeepSeek V4 released by...?
April 15
41%
March 31
9%
March 21
6%
March 15
0%
January 31
0%
+1 more
$1.4M
in about 1 month
Trade
12
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Super Heavy booster explodes?
59%
April 30
53%
Successful splash down?
48%
April 21
43%
April 14
30%
+7 more
$1.3M
about 1 month ago
Trade
28
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
67%
Apple
14%
Alphabet
13%
Tesla
3%
Microsoft
2%
+23 more
$1.2M
in 10 months
Trade
3
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
84%
March 31, 2026
2%
December 31
0%
$1.1M
2 months ago
Trade
5
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B
66%
$1T
45%
$1.2T
39%
$1.4T
38%
$1.6T
36%
$1.1M
in almost 2 years
Trade
3
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
35%
June 30, 2026
3%
December 31, 2025
0%
$1.1M
in 10 months
Trade
74
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
86%
xAI
26%
Anthropic
7%
OpenAI
5%
Kraken
2%
+69 more
$1.1M
in 10 months
Trade
11
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Anthropic
100%
xAI
28%
OpenAI
28%
DeepSeek
12%
Meta
7%
+6 more
$1.0M
in 4 months
Trade
2
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
56%
July 31
21%
$922K
in 10 months
Trade
7
Who will acquire TikTok?
Larry Ellison/Oracle
100%
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
9%
Microsoft
8%
AppLovin
8%
Amazon
7%
+2 more
$797K
in 10 months
Trade
15
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
74%
None by June 30, 2027
14%
Netflix
1%
Comcast
0%
Company A
0%
+10 more
$790K
in over 1 year
Trade
9
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
93%
>$1.2T
86%
>$1.4T
80%
>$1.6T
71%
>$1.8T
58%
+4 more
$787K
in almost 2 years
Trade
18
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
OpenAI
88%
Anthropic
7%
DeepSeek
2%
Google
2%
xAI
1%
+13 more
$761K
in 15 days
Trade
30
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Goldman Sachs
53%
Morgan Stanley
32%
Bank of America
1%
JPMorgan
1%
Citigroup
0%
+25 more
$758K
in almost 2 years
Trade
7
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
94%
600B+
3%
400–600B
2%
200–300B
1%
300–400B
1%
+2 more
$745K
in 4 months
Trade
4
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
June 30
37%
May 31
35%
April 30
11%
March 31
2%
$692K
in 4 months
Trade
7
Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q1 2026?
Vertiv Holdings (VRT)
100%
Ciena (CIEN)
100%
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
2%
Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
2%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
2%
+2 more
$677K
in 15 days
Trade
19
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
38%
Google
29%
OpenAI
19%
xAI
7%
Meituan
3%
+14 more
$656K
in 4 months
Trade
24
3rd largest company end of March?
Alphabet
53%
Apple
45%
Microsoft
1%
Amazon
1%
NVIDIA
0%
+19 more
$642K
in 15 days
Trade
5
NASA Artemis II
April 30
65%
Artemis II booster rupture?
10%
March 31
1%
February 28
0%
February 7
0%
$607K
in 15 days
Trade
22
Next CEO of Apple?
John Ternus
59%
Sabih Khan
22%
Craig Federighi
6%
Greg Joswiak
5%
Other
0%
+17 more
$569K
in 10 months
Trade
1
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
FDA approves Retatrutide this year
23%
$543K
in 10 months
Trade
25
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
Anthropic
90%
Google
6%
OpenAI
2%
xAI
2%
DeepSeek
2%
+20 more
$488K
in 15 days
Trade
19
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Shadowrocket
76%
HotSchedules
16%
RadarOmega: Doppler Radar App
3%
TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome
0%
Procreate Pocket
0%
+14 more
$465K
in 1 day
Trade
6
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
80%
<15B
19%
30B+
1%
15–20B
1%
20–25B
0%
+1 more
$464K
in 4 months
Trade
23
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
77%
xAI
14%
Google
4%
OpenAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
+18 more
$418K
in 15 days
Trade
8
How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?
<350k
80%
350k–375k
14%
375k–400k
4%
400k–425k
1%
425k–450k
0%
+3 more
$389K
in 15 days
Trade
1
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027
72%
$374K
in 10 months
Trade
8
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
2.0T+
46%
1.8T–2.0T
14%
1.6T–1.8T
10%
<1.0T
8%
1.4T–1.6T
5%
+3 more
$330K
in almost 2 years
Trade
5
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
79%
September 30, 2026
70%
June 30, 2026
19%
March 31, 2026
2%
December 31, 2025
0%
$327K
2 months ago
Trade
6
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Tim Cook - Apple
32%
Sundar Pichai - Google
19%
Andy Jassy - Amazon
19%
Dan Clancy - Twitch
16%
Sam Altman - OpenAI
16%
+1 more
$315K
in 10 months
Trade
5
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
June 30
87%
May 31
75%
April 30
59%
March 31
26%
February 28
0%
$304K
in 4 months
Trade
18
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?
OpenAI
91%
Anthropic
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Google
1%
xAI
1%
+13 more
$303K
in 15 days
Trade
4
GPT-5.5 released by...?
June 30
93%
April 30
67%
April 15
55%
April 8
0%
$278K
Trade
23
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
89%
xAI
3%
Google
2%
DeepSeek
2%
OpenAI
2%
+18 more
$249K
in 15 days
Trade
Showing 50 events
• Data from Polymarket • Updated 10:21:46 PM