US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Yes Probability(Yes = US x Iran ceasefire by May 31)
50.5%
Price History
Yes: 50.5%-13.0%
No: 49.5%+13.0%
Yes
No
PolyHQ Analysis
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Order Book
Spread1.96%Mid50.5%
SizePriceSize
60.0¢8776
59.0¢2170
58.0¢5298
57.0¢31
56.0¢7752
55.0¢10
54.0¢1500
53.0¢1270
52.0¢9884
51.0¢5604
─ 50.5% ─
197150.0¢
725849.0¢
1025848.0¢
769847.0¢
696646.0¢
523145.0¢
60044.0¢
25143.0¢
130042.0¢
2521041.0¢
Total Bids66,741.44
Total Asks42,295.19
Market Info
Market ID1484894
Created3/2/2026
24h Volume$83.1K
Spread1.00%
Min Order$5
🤖 Quick Analysis