Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes Probability(Yes = Yes outcome occurs)
1.5%
+0.0%
Price History
Yes: 1.5%-1.1%
No: 98.5%+1.2%
Yes
No
PolyHQ Analysis
Real-time AI analysis with built-in web search, citations, and cross-platform comparison.
Live Web Search Real-Time Data Citations
Order Book
Spread23.53%Mid1.5%
SizePriceSize
3.1¢350
3.0¢600
2.9¢100
2.7¢200
2.5¢1000
2.4¢1000
2.3¢100
2.0¢1000
1.9¢1301
1.7¢13758
─ 1.5% ─
641.3¢
3251.2¢
25001.1¢
18251.0¢
2020.9¢
62500.8¢
142860.7¢
317710.6¢
271540.5¢
612500.4¢
Total Bids145,626.96
Total Asks19,409.52
Market Info
Market ID2126516
Created4/30/2026
24h Volume$707
Spread0.40%
Min Order$5
🤖 Quick Analysis