US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes Probability(Yes = Yes outcome occurs)
77.5%
+0.1%
Price History
Yes: 77.5%+24.0%
No: 22.5%-24.0%
Yes
No
PolyHQ Analysis
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Order Book
Spread1.28%Mid77.5%
SizePriceSize
88.0¢4666
87.0¢1408
86.0¢86
84.0¢6
83.0¢8500
82.0¢1820
81.0¢12654
80.0¢10200
79.0¢7207
78.0¢902
─ 77.5% ─
110077.0¢
458676.0¢
698775.0¢
547274.0¢
112373.0¢
340072.0¢
81471.0¢
311970.0¢
899969.0¢
169268.0¢
Total Bids37,292
Total Asks47,449.44
Market Info
Market ID2155052
Created5/4/2026
24h Volume$210.8K
Spread1.00%
Min Order$5
🤖 Quick Analysis