MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Yes Probability(Yes = US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31)

50.0%

+0.4%

Price History

Yes: 50.5%+3.0%

No: 49.5%-3.0%

Yes

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Order Book

Spread1.96%Mid50.5%

SizePriceSize

60.0¢660

59.0¢305

58.0¢920

57.0¢926

56.0¢250

55.0¢10400

54.0¢5943

53.0¢4343

52.0¢5114

51.0¢1432

─ 50.5% ─

20550.0¢

228449.0¢

254748.0¢

267947.0¢

709746.0¢

1520345.0¢

34944.0¢

32843.0¢

33042.0¢

36041.0¢

Total Bids31,382.31

Total Asks30,292.87

Market Info

Market ID2937525

Created7/15/2026

24h Volume$1.1M

Spread2.00%

Min Order$5

🤖 Quick Analysis

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

PolyHQ Analysis

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

PolyHQ Analysis