MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Yes Probability(Yes = Yes outcome occurs)

64.5%

+0.3%

Price History

Yes: 64.5%+6.0%

No: 35.5%-6.0%

Yes

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Order Book

Spread1.54%Mid64.5%

SizePriceSize

74.0¢1347

73.0¢1229

72.0¢2200

71.0¢2876

70.0¢2477

69.0¢1200

68.0¢293

67.0¢1328

66.0¢2902

65.0¢4468

─ 64.5% ─

217264.0¢

164563.0¢

81962.0¢

68761.0¢

111159.0¢

108758.0¢

1857.0¢

126556.0¢

78255.0¢

40554.0¢

Total Bids9,990.69

Total Asks20,319.91

Market Info

Market ID2937526

Created7/15/2026

24h Volume$123.3K

Spread1.00%

Min Order$5

🤖 Quick Analysis

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

PolyHQ Analysis

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

PolyHQ Analysis