MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Yes Probability(Yes = Yes outcome occurs)

71.5%

+0.2%

Price History

Yes: 71.5%-1.0%

No: 28.5%+1.0%

Yes

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Order Book

Spread1.39%Mid71.5%

SizePriceSize

83.0¢2205

82.0¢2574

80.0¢327

78.0¢1005

77.0¢662

76.0¢869

75.0¢835

74.0¢615

73.0¢971

72.0¢5307

─ 71.5% ─

37271.0¢

274770.0¢

40069.0¢

566.0¢

42365.0¢

176064.0¢

120563.0¢

144462.0¢

108961.0¢

125060.0¢

Total Bids10,695.46

Total Asks15,369.44

Market Info

Market ID2937527

Created7/15/2026

24h Volume$88.9K

Spread1.00%

Min Order$5

🤖 Quick Analysis

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

PolyHQ Analysis

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

PolyHQ Analysis