Neg Risk
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes Probability(Yes = Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair)
54.5%
Price History
Yes: 54.5%+10.0%
No: 45.5%-10.0%
Yes
No
PolyHQ Analysis
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Order Book
Spread1.82%Mid54.5%
SizePriceSize
64.0¢317
63.0¢873
62.0¢2215
61.0¢3000
60.0¢9213
59.0¢2710
58.0¢9373
57.0¢2384
56.0¢6907
55.0¢4688
─ 54.5% ─
1650054.0¢
3827053.0¢
3507652.0¢
180051.0¢
2338850.0¢
655749.0¢
29848.0¢
22247.0¢
32246.0¢
1845.0¢
Total Bids122,451.7
Total Asks41,680.85
Market Info
Market ID572469
Created8/5/2025
24h Volume$426.9K
Spread1.00%
Min Order$5
🤖 Quick Analysis